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Financial Planning
Financial Planning
By Ruth A. Forsyth, MS, CFP, CLTC, CSA
Ruth Forsyth is a Certified
Financial Planner and
Principal with The Advisors
Group of Pittsburgh and
holds a Master of Science
degree in Financial Planning.
For more information, visit
www.advisorsgroup-pgh.com
or call 412-539-0055.
You’re Never too Old for “New Math”
As baby boomers age and enter retirement, they need to adjust
their thinking about many things. Among them are what to do
with their free time (no more 9-5 grind) and how they should
view their investment returns.When it comes to retirement assets,
the strategies that worked while accumulating for retirement may
not necessarily be as effective in providing income.
Historically, traditional defined benefit pension plans and
Social Security have provided the primary sources of income and
security for retirees. Given Social Security’s uncertain future and
the fact that many employers have switched from traditional
pension plans to 401k’s, today’s worker entering retirement needs
to rely much more heavily on personal investments as a source of
income.This places the two primary risks of retirement –
investment risk and longevity risk – directly on the shoulders of
the individual.
Outliving their money is a fear of many investors entering
retirement. According to a recent study by Milevsky and
Abaimova, a 65-year-old couple has a 50.3 percent chance that at
least one of them will live to age 90! Additionally, unexpected
expenses and rising healthcare costs have left many
underestimating their needs in retirement.
Rising income needs, inflation and taxes make it imperative that
retirement assets are not invested too conservatively. Returns need
to be sufficient to provide for today’s expenses while also
providing a rising stream of income for tomorrow.
When accumulating assets, it is all about long term returns.
Volatility and sequence of returns are not as important as the end
result. However, investing for an increasing income requires
additional considerations. Average rates of return are not as
meaningful. In essence, the “math” changes. Volatility in a
retirement income portfolio can be much more damaging and
systematic withdrawals only worsen the losses.
The “arithmetic of loss”means that an investor needs a greater
positive return to recoup from a negative year. Consider the
following data: An investor suffering a loss of 15 percent in their
portfolio needs a return of 17.6 percent the following year to get
back to even. If that same investor is withdrawing 5 percent per
year from their assets, they would need a 25 percent return to
recoup their loss.
Securities and advisory services offered solely through Ameritas
Investment Corp. (AIC).Member FINRA/SIPC. AIC and
The Advisors Group of Pittsburgh are not affiliated.
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